The New York Mets are currently 52 – 32 and have the second best run differential in the National League at +71 runs. This is unfamiliar territory as the Mets have been a very average team the past few years. They haven’t made the playoffs since 2016 and the most wins they have had in a season since 2010 was 90 during 2015. This was also the year that they went to the World Series. With playoff and World Series hopes riding high, let’s take a look at the remaining schedule for the Mets and whether they can capture the NL East crown.
We are quickly approaching the All-Star break, as only a few games remain before the All-Star game. The Mets currently have a four game home slate versus the Marlins from July 7th to the 10th. They follow that up with a three game series at the Braves. This is the most crucial series of the year thus far, as the Braves are only 2.5 games behind the Mets. Winning the series or even sweeping will be vital for the Mets. After that they have a four game stretch at the Cubs. Then the All-Star game comes on the 19th. The Mets will return from the All-Star break on the 22nd with a three game series hosting the Padres. This is followed by a quick two game series against the Yankees at Citi Field. Winning both of these tough series will be crucial in order for the Mets to build momentum. They wrap up July with three games at the Marlins.
August sees the Mets open at the Nationals before five games in four days at Citi Field against the Braves. This could very well decide the NL East if either team dominates. The Mets then stay home against the Reds before playing the Phillies, Braves, and then Phillies again. This will be a vital stretch for the Mets, as the Phillies and Braves are clipping at their heels and could very easily take the division from them. After that it’s a tough stretch against the Yankees, Rockies, and Dodgers to close out August.
The Mets can either pad their division lead or catch up in September, as their schedule is very weak. The Dodgers series from the end of August spills into September before a series at the Pirates and then at the Marlins. It’s then home to the Cubs, Pirates again, then a visit to the Brewers. The Brewers may prove to be the only hard series in the entire month of September. The month ends with a trip to Oakland, and then back to Citi Field for a quick 2 against the Marlins. The road games end with a three game slate at the Braves that could very well decide the division. The season then ends with a three game home series against the Nationals, with the season finale on October 5th.
So how will the Mets fare throughout the rest of the season? Just from looking at their remaining schedule I believe that they will win the NL East. This is assuming that they don’t absolutely collapse due to injuries or other factors. This is also assuming that they at least split the remaining games against the Braves. The Mets always seem to have trouble with the Braves, so the season could depend on winning consistently against them. The Mets can hang with better teams like the Dodgers, Brewers, and Yankees. They also beat up on the bottom feeders like the Reds and Pirates. If they continue on the path they are currently on then the Mets should win the NL East rather easily. In terms of wins, I can definitely see the Mets hovering around 100. Whether it is slightly over or under is left to be seen.